All Eyes on the Fed
According to the CME FedWatch Tool: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html the odds of a change in rates are high. While this number will change throughout the day as more data comes in, this morning it's at 86.3% probability of a quarter point hike in rated on Wednesday. Last week it was at 90.5%. However, a month ago the probability was at only 48.4%. In fact, a month ago there was a 51.6% perceived probability of no change in rates.
All those numbers changing because of two words, "may" and "be". In the last FOMC statement, the FOMC introduced uncertainty into the decision. Will they do the same this week?
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