In a recent interview, Elon Musk said: |
"You need transformers to run transformers." |
Most investors missed what he was really saying. |
Musk built his Colossus supercomputer in 122 days. The power equipment needed to run it can take up to 120 weeks to manufacture. |
That bottleneck is creating a major opportunity for one little-known American company that can deliver faster than almost anyone else. |
Click here to see the stock Musk's own words may have pointed to. |
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🔋 BONUS: One Fund's $879M Bloom Energy Bet Meets Its Test 🧾A 13F filed in May shows the market's biggest AI-power conviction bet. A June flush already tested it twice — here's the level that decides who was right.
Quick Take
- Situational Awareness LP disclosed 6.5 million Bloom Energy shares worth $879 million in its May 18 13F — its single largest position.
- BE has tested the $250 zone twice since June 26's 57-million-share selloff and held both times, closing Tuesday at $295.05.
- The next test isn't a chart pattern — it's Bloom's July 28 earnings, landing the same day as the Fed's rate decision.
Forget what any ticker did overnight — the real story in Bloom Energy sits in a filing dated more than six weeks ago. On May 18, Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness LP disclosed its largest position: 6.5 million shares of Bloom Energy worth $879 million, plus call options on another 409,000 shares worth $55 million more. That 13F covered positioning as of March 31 — before the stock's violent round trip through a June selloff and back. The filing is old news by market standards. The structure it left behind isn't — and that's the part the tape hasn't finished pricing. Here's the level that matters: $250. Bloom Energy cratered to $247.74 on June 26 after rival FuelCell Energy announced a competing data-center power deal, dumping more than 57 million shares in a single session — over five times normal volume — and knocking 14% off the stock in a day. Since then, BE has tested the low-$250s a second time, printing $252.08 on July 2, and held both times, clawing back to $295.05 by Tuesday's close. Confirmation: the stock keeps finding buyers above $250 on any pullback. Invalidation: a close back below $247.74 would say the June flush wasn't a shakeout — it was the top. This is a positioning story before it's a chart story. Situational Awareness LP built its Bloom Energy stake as the single largest disclosed long in a $13.68 billion portfolio that tripled in size in one quarter — a fund whose entire thesis is reading where AI infrastructure capital actually flows, not where the headlines say it flows. A dedicated AI-power name at more than 15% of the book is a statement, not a hedge. The June selloff tested whether that conviction was priced for perfection or built to survive a genuinely bad week. So far, the $250 floor says survive, and the fund's cost basis from the March 31 filing period sits well below where the stock is trading even after the flush.
A 13F is a photograph of yesterday's conviction. The stock's job over the next six weeks is to prove the photograph wasn't flattering by accident.
Same dynamic as Nvidia's DeepSeek selloff in January 2025: a single session wiped out $589 billion in market value — the largest one-day loss in market history at the time — on a capex-thesis scare, and the stock spent the following weeks digesting the shock before institutional buyers stepped back in. The flush tests conviction. It doesn't usually end it. The Next Filing WindowThe 13F window that matters next opens August 14 — the deadline for Q2 2026 filings. If Situational Awareness LP added to Bloom Energy during the June flush instead of trimming, that's the tell that the fund treated the selloff as a buying window, not an exit. If the position shrinks instead, the $250 floor gets a lot less interesting as a signal. Zoom out and the setup is bigger than one fund. AI-power names — Bloom Energy, Vistra, Talen, Constellation — sit underneath the hyperscaler capex story, and every one of them gets tested the same way whenever a rival lands a marquee deal or a capex headline spooks the tape. The stocks that hold their multi-week floor after the flush are the ones institutional filings keep showing up in three and six months later. The ones that don't hold usually show up in the next quarter's trimmed positions instead, quietly, with no press release attached.
What to watch: Bloom Energy's Q2 earnings on July 28, the same day as the Fed's rate decision, and whether the August 14 13F window shows Situational Awareness LP adding to, or trimming, its largest disclosed position. Get overnight SMS alerts before tomorrow's open — Cal's early read lands hours ahead of the inbox. Free, two to three texts a week, opt out anytime. — Cal Torres, Markets Editor
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