Senin, 14 April 2025

All Quiet on the Bearish Front... For Now

Hey folks, Brandon Chapman here.

The markets ticked slightly higher today, but don't let this calm fool you. We may just be in the eye of the storm.

As I was scanning the markets this morning, I couldn't help but think of that classic World War I novel "All Quiet on the Western Front" - except from the perspective of the bulls looking across no-man's-land at the bears.

Today, all seems quiet.

But what's really happening beneath the surface?

What's REALLY Driving Today's Market?

The tariff tweet that sparked Apple's 3.7% jump - but is this rally built on solid ground or shifting policy sands?
Why staples, utilities and real estate are leading the market higher - and what this defensive rotation truly signals about investor sentiment
The bond market mystery that might explain why we're not seeing a continuation of last week's volatility storm
The shocking connection between the basis trade unwinding and potential market fragility that most investors are completely missing
Why the Japanese Yen's movement against the dollar could be the canary in the coal mine for an even bigger market disruption ahead

We're seeing a market grappling with unprecedented uncertainty.

How do you price assets when policy changes by the tweet? When tariffs are announced, then suspended, then promised again?

The ultimate question: Are we truly in recovery mode, or is this just a brief respite before the next wave of selling?

I dive into all these questions and more in my latest video analysis. The expected move for this week is still +/- 250 points on the S&P, so there's plenty of potential volatility ahead.

My advice? Trade small if at all, and don't stick your head up out of the trenches just yet.

WATCH MY FULL MARKET ANALYSIS HERE

Stay safe out there,

Brandon Chapman

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