The Power Gauge Is 'Very Bearish' on the Phone I Want
Back in September, I made a decision I would come to regret... You see, my wife and I have used Apple's (AAPL) iPhones for years. If I remember correctly, my first one was an iPhone 4 back in 2010.
The Power Gauge Is 'Very Bearish' on the Phone I Want
By Vic Lederman, editorial director, Chaikin Analytics
Back in September, I made a decision I would come to regret...
You see, my wife and I have used Apple's (AAPL) iPhones for years. If I remember correctly, my first one was an iPhone 4 back in 2010.
That means I've been on Apple's iOS operating system for roughly 15 years. But at the end of last year, I decided to make a change.
You see, I've always been something of a tech nerd. I enjoy the advances technology brings us. And I like learning about the features of tech gadgets.
How bad could it be? After all, the tech reviewers on YouTube say that all of the "flagship" phones are great these days.
So, after 15 years of iOS... I switched. I bought a pair of top-of-the-line Pixel phones for myself and my wife. They're made by Alphabet's (GOOGL) Google.
Both of us expected the transition to be a bit of a pain. You don't just learn something new without some frustrations.
But what I learned about the state of consumer AI was shocking. And now, I have to admit, I made a mistake. However, as I'll explain today, switching back also means accepting a deeper issue...
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Longtime readers know that Chaikin Analytics founder Marc Chaikin and I both see AI making major changes in the world.
But the reality is, OpenAI – the company behind popular chatbot ChatGPT – caught the tech giants sleeping. And it shows in their products.
Put nicely, Google's AI phone assistant is of limited utility. Or more simply, it's more often a nuisance than not.
Beyond that, just about everything about the Apple experience is more refined. And after roughly five months with the Google Pixel... I'm ready to switch back.
But Apple has a major problem in the eyes of investors...
The Big AI Features Folks Want for the iPhone Still Aren't Here
The company promised life-changing AI features. It said these would be "coming soon" on the current iPhone.
Well, Apple release the iPhone 16 this past September. And the features that folks wanted still aren't here.
If I had to guess, I would bet that Apple can't get the features working to their level of refinement. My experience with Google's Pixel tells me that there's still a lot of work to be done.
Unfortunately for Apple, investors are not happy. This delay makes it clear that Apple is behind in the AI race. And the market has reacted accordingly.
Take a look at this chart...
As you can see, Apple's stock has traded mostly sideways since last June.
Investors wanted something big from the company. Instead, they got promises. And now, the company has clearly failed to deliver on those promises.
It's no wonder that Apple has turned "very bearish" in the Power Gauge. The stock is down about 15% so far in 2025. And investors are stuck waiting for "one more thing."
Meanwhile, you can see on the chart that Apple also hasn't spent much time in "bullish" territory over the past year. Clearly, the Power Gauge hasn't been that impressed with the stock... and it still isn't today.
As for me and my phone, I'll be switching back. I've learned my lesson. It turns out I prefer the refinement of the iPhone over having access to every feature on Day 1.
Still, my personal preference for the iPhone obviously doesn't mean everyone else feels the same. I also understand the market's frustration with Apple.
The tech giants are in a race right now. And compared with its peers, Apple is walking slow.
Hopefully, when it releases those much-hyped AI tools, they'll have a level of polish that puts its rivals to shame. I'm sure I'll find out eventually. Either way, I'm looking forward to a new phone.
Good investing,
Vic Lederman
Market View
Major Indexes and Notable Sectors
# Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish
Dow 30
+0.93%
4
20
6
S&P 500
+0.77%
42
322
134
Nasdaq
+0.65%
8
76
16
Small Caps
+1.26%
200
1209
492
Bonds
+0.5%
Real Estate
+1.76%
0
15
16
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks remain Bearish. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Energy
+3.53%
Information Technology
+2.95%
Financial
+2.23%
Utilities
+1.36%
Materials
+1.24%
Industrials
+0.6%
Real Estate
+0.29%
Communication
-0.53%
Health Care
-0.61%
Discretionary
-0.67%
Staples
-2.43%
* * * *
Industry Focus
NYSE Technology Services
4
27
4
Over the past 6 months, the NYSE Technology subsector (XNTK) has outperformed the S&P 500 by +7.23%. Its Power Bar ratio which measures future potential is Neutral, with an equal number of Bullish and Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #6 of 21 subsectors.
Indicative Stocks
AAPL
Apple Inc.
MSTR
MicroStrategy Incorp
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
ENPH
+9.75%
INTC
+6.82%
AES
+6.01%
GEV
+5.84%
MPWR
+5.71%
Losers
INCY
-8.62%
DFS
-6.86%
TSLA
-4.79%
COF
-3.85%
AON
-1.96%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Reporting Today
Rating
Before Open
After Close
Earnings Surprises
SAIC Science Applications International Corporation
Q4
$2.57
Beat by $0.48
* * * *
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