Selasa, 18 Maret 2025

Standing Strong in a Treacherous Market

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EDITOR'S NOTE

There's no doubt last year was a banner year for the stock market. The S&P 500 gained over 23%, and the Nasdaq and the Dow did even better.

But what if I told you Chief Income Strategist Marc Lichtenfeld QUADRUPLED the S&P's return in 2024?

As hard as it may be to believe, it's true - and for a limited time, Marc is offering a free bonus year of his prized research and recommendations.

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- Nicole Labra, Senior Managing Editor

THE SHORTEST WAY TO A RICH LIFE

How to Stand Strong in a Treacherous Market

Marc Lichtenfeld, Chief Income Strategist, The Oxford Club

Marc Lichtenfeld

Several times a day over the past few weeks, a news headline (or social media post) has hit the wires and landed like a grenade in the market. Just as quickly, "peace" is declared and the market rallies... but then, BOOM, another grenade goes off.

It's no wonder the market has been falling lately.

These whipsaws are tough to handle regardless of whether you're a trader or an investor.

I've been both since 1991 - back when you had to call a broker on the phone to place a trade. The most important lesson I've learned in all of that time is the importance of having a system to exit trades (especially losers).

Knowing your exit strategy before you enter the trade removes emotion from the equation.

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For example, if you buy a stock at $20 and you know that you'll be out if it hits $15, it's a lot easier to handle the stock tumbling to, say, $16. You had a rational reason that $15 was your trigger to head for the exit, so if the stock drops to $16, you simply wait and see what happens instead of panicking.

There are two simple ways to determine the price level that will take you out of a trade.

The first is setting a trailing stop.

The Oxford Club typically recommends a 25% trailing stop. With a 25% stop, if you buy a stock at $20, your stop would be $15. If the stock rises to $24, your stop rises with it to $18.

You can also tighten the stop as the stock climbs. So if the stock hits $30, maybe you decide to tighten the stop to 15%, which would make your new stop $25.50.

Why is 25% our default stop? The Oxford Club recommends putting no more than 4% of your portfolio in any one position. If you get stopped out with a 25% loss on the position, your portfolio is down 1%, which is not too hard to recover from.

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The second way to determine your exit is to use a stock chart and find where the stock has support.

Support is a price level where the stock has stopped falling in the past. It represents where selling has dried up and buyers have stepped in.

For example, let's say you owned Moody's Corp. (NYSE: MCO). You can see on this chart that every time the stock has fallen to around $450 recently, it has rebounded. That tells us that the stock has support at $450.

Moody's Corp. price chart
 

If the stock fell meaningfully below $450, you'd know that something in traders' and investors' psychology has changed.

Over the past seven months, demand outweighed supply when the stock fell to $450. If the stock falls below $450, it's a good sign that is no longer the case and the stock is going lower.

Generally, I look for a stock to close 2% or 3% below support to feel confident that the picture has truly changed.

With that in mind, if I bought the stock, I'd either set a stop at 2% to 3% below the area of support or request an alert if the stock closes around that level.

The best thing you can do to improve your trading and investing results is to remove the emotion. That's not easy, but fortunately, these two strategies help you do exactly that. By using trailing stops and stock charts, you set your exit levels when you're thinking clearly - not when the stock or the market is tanking and your emotions are running hot.

With these strategies in place, you'll barely notice the grenades going off in the market each day.

Good investing,

Marc

P.S. Tracking patterns in stock charts has helped me deliver my readers some incredible winners this year, even as the market has been melting down.

So far in 2025, we've booked top winners of...

  • 116% on Welltower in nine days
  • 140% on CNH Industrial in just four days
  • 216% on Accenture in 30 days!

And my top winners in 2024 included...

  • 275% on Heico in 48 days
  • 245% on Schlumberger in 32 days
  • 300% on Samsara in just 22 days
  • THIRTEEN more triple-digit winners!

In a new video presentation, I unveil my absolute favorite chart pattern to track for the chance at market-crushing gains.

Click here to watch it.

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