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Happy Sunday! |
If you've been following me on social media, you've probably seen my big announcement: I've launching a YouTube channel! |
The reason? |
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Why is this an issue? |
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That's about to change. I've been perfecting a new way to consume investing videos behind the scenes. |
Simpler, smarter, and designed for how we think and learn today. My plan is to start with short form, and gradually expand to long form.
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You definitely won't want to miss the first video when it comes out on 1/1/25! |
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Some key data bites from this week that you should know: |
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In today's newsletter: |
π° The Five Types Of Moats πΈ Biggest R&D Spenders π 6 Duopolies π Top 10 Revenue Monsters π SoFi User Growth Has Exploded
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Let's jump right in. |
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This week, Mark Zuckerberg announced that Threads just crossed 300M monthly actives and 100M daily actives. |
Why does that matter? |
It's a classic example of Network Effects—the more people join, the more valuable it becomes, creating a fortress competitors can't easily break into. Meta leverages its massive audience to build its user base across its family of apps, like using Instagram to fuel Threads' rapid growth early on.
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But Network Effects are just one of five powerful moats that help the best companies dominate. What else can companies do to build their competitive advantage? |
They make leaving too painful (Switching Costs). They own things no one else can touch (Intangible Assets). They make things cheaper than everyone else (Cost Advantages). They take over the whole space, leaving no room for rivals (Efficient Scale).
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These moats are what separate good companies from the great ones, ensuring long-term dominance over several decades. |
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Companies are pouring billions into the future. |
From AI that could reshape the world to medicines that could save it, it all starts with research and development. |
In the last twelve months, Big Tech dropped over $230B combined. That's bigger than the GDP of entire countries.
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Pharma powerhouses like Merck, Pfizer, and J&J are in the game too, chasing the next breakthrough that could change lives. |
Every dollar spent on R&D is a bet on what comes next. |
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Mastercard just sweetened the deal for investors. |
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Moves like this aren't just a flex. |
They're a testament to the power of operating in a duopoly. |
Duopolies dominate their markets, facing little meaningful competition, which creates massive pricing power, sticky customer bases, and reliable cash flows.
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Payment processing is one of the best examples, with Mastercard and Visa running the game. |
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These companies are able to funnel their steady profits into shareholder rewards like dividends and buybacks. |
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Walmart proved this year they were the king of retail. |
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Known as a cornerstone of American business for over six decades, Walmart has often been seen as a mature company with slow, but steady growth. |
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The retailer had a standout year, with rising sales and profits, consistently beating comparable same store sales estimates, and repeatedly raising its forecast. |
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Over the past 12 months, total revenue climbed 5.5% YoY to $674B—the largest of any American company. |
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The result? Walmart's stock is up 74% this year, adding over $340B to its market cap. |
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Another stock finishing the year strong? SoFi. |
For those unfamiliar, SoFi is a FinTech company offering loans, banking, investing, and other financial services.
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Interestingly, the stock traded flat for most of the year through October but has since surged about 100%. |
This week, SoFi hit a major milestone: 10M members across its products and services. |
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Zooming out, SoFi's membership has grown 14x since Q1 2019. |
The company's impressive growth has CEO Anthony Noto confident, stating, "The best is yet to come." |
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π Vision Upgrade. Meta's Ray-Ban smart glasses now feature upgrades like Shazam, live translation, and enhanced video AI tools - TOMS | πΉ Aisle Surveillance. Walmart employees are wearing body cameras in some stores - CNBC | π Freight Break. FedEx has announced it plans to split into two companies - FDX | π Merging Lanes. Nissan and Honda are exploring a potential merger - WSJ | π§Ύ Transparent Pricing. The FTC has banned hidden fees for hotel bookings and concert tickets - CNN | π± Foldable Future. Apple is reportedly working on a foldable iPad - TV |
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| Presented by our paid sponsor, EarningsHub |
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Notable Companies Reporting Earnings In January 2025: |
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There will be no major companies reporting earnings over the next two weeks, so here is a preview of what January will look like! |
I use EarningsHub to track earnings, estimates, and receive AI summaries of investor calls. |
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| Major Trades Published 12/16 - 12/20. Trades may be those of family members. [Source: 2iQ] |
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Buys |
Michael McCaul (R) Company: Vanguard Long-Term Tax-Exempt Fund ($VWLUX) Company: Global Payments ($GPN) Company: Genuine Parts Co ($GPC)
Markwayne Mullin (R)
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Sells |
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| Major Trades Published 12/16 - 12/20 |
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Buys |
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Sells |
Salesforce ($CRM) Ncino Inc ($NCNO) Nvidia ($NVDA) EVgo Inc ($EVGO)
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How was today's newsletter?I value all of the feedback that I receive. Let me know how I did so I can continue to make this the best investing newsletter available! |
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π€ Review of the Week |
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Disclaimer: The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. All statements and expressions herein are the sole opinion of the author, paid advertiser, or partner and do not reflect the official policy or position of any other agency, organization, employer or company. | Carbon Finance is a publisher of financial information, not an investment or financial advisor. We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice or information that is tailored to the needs of any particular recipient. | The information contained on this website/newsletter has been crafted with the assistance of an AI language model to enhance the content of this newsletter. We have made efforts to ensure the quality and reliability of the information presented, but we cannot guarantee its absolute accuracy. Therefore, readers are advised to exercise their own judgment and seek additional sources if necessary. | THE INFORMATION CONTAINED ON THIS WEBSITE/NEWSLETTER IS NOT AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED AS INVESTMENT ADVICE, AND DOES NOT PURPORT TO BE AND DOES NOT EXPRESS ANY OPINION AS TO THE PRICE AT WHICH THE SECURITIES OF ANY COMPANY MAY TRADE AT ANY TIME. THE INFORMATION AND OPINIONS PROVIDED HEREIN SHOULD NOT BE TAKEN AS SPECIFIC ADVICE ON THE MERITS OF ANY INVESTMENT DECISION. INVESTORS SHOULD MAKE THEIR OWN INVESTIGATION AND DECISIONS REGARDING THE PROSPECTS OF ANY COMPANY DISCUSSED HEREIN BASED ON SUCH INVESTORS' OWN REVIEW OF PUBLICLY AVAILABLE INFORMATION AND SHOULD NOT RELY ON THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN. | No statement or expression of opinion, or any other matter herein, directly or indirectly, is an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities or financial instruments mentioned. | Any projections, market outlooks or estimates herein are forward looking statements and are inherently unreliable. They are based upon certain assumptions and should not be construed to be indicative of the actual events that will occur. Other events that were not taken into account may occur and may significantly affect the returns or performance of the securities discussed herein. The information provided herein is based on matters as they exist as of the date of preparation and not as of any future date, and the publisher undertakes no obligation to correct, update or revise the information in this document or to otherwise provide any additional material. | The publisher, its affiliates, and clients of the publisher or its affiliates may currently have long or short positions in the securities of the companies mentioned herein, or may have such a position in the future (and therefore may profit from fluctuations in the trading price of the securities). To the extent such persons do have such positions, there is no guarantee that such persons will maintain such positions. | Neither the publisher nor any of its affiliates accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of the information contained herein. | Some of the links in this newsletter are affiliate links. This means that if you click on the link and purchase the item, we will receive an affiliate commission at no extra cost to you. All opinions remain our own. | By using the Site or any affiliated social media account, you are indicating your consent and agreement to this disclaimer. Unauthorized reproduction of this newsletter or its contents by photocopy, facsimile or any other means is illegal and punishable by law. |
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