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If you haven’t seen Roger Scott’s top projections for 2024, join him LIVE at 1 p.m. ET on Thursday for his Turning Point 2024 event! A Classic Market Top? Time to Do This Dear Fellow Trader: I hate to say it, but it feels like the writing is on the wall. After a fairy tale nine-week rally, it could be coming to an end. FOMO is fading. And the Federal Reserve’s latest minutes now lead us to a jobs report and economic data that may show further erosion in the economy. If you’re a long-term shareholder, now is not the time to start dumping stocks. You don’t want to start the year on the sidelines right away. Instead, you can consider using a variety of hedging strategies. One of the best for investors in stocks are covered calls. Let’s dive in. Covered Calls as a Hedge? Covered calls can act as a hedging strategy to help stock owners manage risk in their portfolio. In this strategy, the stock owner sells call options on stocks they already own. This allows them to earn premium income from the options they sell. When a stock owner writes a covered call, they grant someone else the right to buy their stock at a specific price (the strike price) within a certain time frame. If the stock's price stays below the strike price, the call will likely expire worthless, and the stock owner keeps the premium as income. This premium provides a cushion against a decline in the stock price. Essentially, it lowers the effective cost basis of the stock, offering some protection against a downturn. When we start to see a technical top form in the market — and buying pressure slows — it’s a good opportunity to take this approach. More advanced traders may consider selling the call and then using the proceeds to purchase protective puts against the threat of a broader financial downturn. Is a Crash Coming? One of the biggest questions that I receive when I’m traveling or talking to people on the street is when I think the market will crash. That’s quite a scary proposition, isn’t it? I expect that the market will look a lot like it did in 2022 and 2023, where we have a lot of wild, seasonal swings that take us down 8% at least two times this year. However, given the sheer amount of capital that central banks are pumping into the system — and the incredible amount of borrowing down by the U.S. Treasury — I expect this market will finish the year up… not down. That’s saying a lot. What investors and traders need to do is focus their attention on how to address negative momentum — you can read our six rules here — and understand the importance of identifying oversold conditions. In the last two years, we’ve had the markets reach drastically oversold conditions in four periods: January 2022, June 2022, October 2022 and October 2023. And in all four cases, hedge funds were VERY net short — predicting a complete wipeout. The problem is that hedge funds aren’t in control when there is so much algorithmic trading. Getting into these oversold territories has unleashed buying sprees that have fueled sharp reversals and lots of short covering. The result is the type of rally we just witnessed to end the year. So — for me — an outright crash seems very improbable this year. As liquidity rises across the globe — with central banks providing more support than ever to their systems — we will look out to 2026 before we have to start really ringing the alarm bells. By then, we might be $40 trillion in debt here, and too much money will be servicing the past. For now, use the market to your advantage, and take the time to learn about what we need to do as traders if we start to see a sideways market in the weeks ahead. Hedging now — while volatility is still low — is a great plan. How to Target 100% Gains — Overnight A lot of people don’t know this… But there’s a way to target overnight returns around 100% or more without looking at stock charts, candlestick patterns or technical setups. Now I know that sounds a bit crazy… But it all starts with a trading secret used by the floor at the Chicago Board Options Exchange… By leveraging this secret, Lance Ippolito has been able to uncover real tradable opportunities that have paid out around 100% or more overnight… Granted, we’ve seen moves of all sizes… some real big, some a little more modest... even losses, too — that’s trading for ya! But here’s the thing… Lance has taught hundreds of traders of all skill levels how to target these gains, too… All without using chart patterns, technicals, or any other commonly taught tactics. Are you ready to be his next student? ![]() Want to get a link to my TradingPub articles as soon as they post? I’ve got you covered! Telegram is an entirely free messaging app and getting access is as easy as 1… 2… 3… 1. Download Telegram on your mobile device (Before you can add Telegram to your desktop computer, you must download the application on your phone and create your account: To download to your iPhone, click here. To download to your Android device, click here. After the download is complete, please create an account. NOTE: You can manage your privacy settings by clicking “Settings,” and then “Privacy & Security.” 2. Download Telegram on your desktop: Once you’ve downloaded Telegram onto your mobile device and created your personal account, you can download it onto your desktop computer. To download onto your PC, click here. To download onto your MacOS, click here. 3. Then add the Garrett Baldwin channel and you’re set: https://t.me/+9_jjnFuAvno0MjNh See you there! Garrett |
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