A 10% correction is normal. We're not even halfway there. But VIX says something else is coming.
| | | People are freaking out. | The S&P is down 4% from all-time highs and everyone's acting like the sky is falling. | Let me put that in perspective: a normal market correction is 10%. We're not even halfway there. | But here's the problem. | VIX closed Friday at 28. That's up 17% on the day. And anything north of 28 historically doesn't pull back — it goes parabolic into the 35-40 range. | We're sitting right on that threshold. | Oil's through $90. Volatility futures are in backwardation — which means the market is pricing extreme near-term risk. The expected move jumped 60% in two days. | And now Trump's threatening to escalate with Iran. Tehran's under bombardment. Israeli commandos raided Lebanon overnight. Six US troops killed in the conflict are being brought home today. | This is not calming down. | Here's what I said Friday: you haven't seen selling yet. | We're 4% off the highs. VIX is already in Never Neverland. If that gap closes — if we actually get the selloff the vol market is pricing in — small accounts are going to get obliterated. | Not because they can't handle a 10% correction. | Because they'll panic. They'll overtrade. They'll revenge trade their losses. They'll hold positions they shouldn't. And they'll blow up. | I've seen it a thousand times. | The traders who survive this are the ones who trade with a system. | That's why we built the 3 Trade Micro-Challenge. | It's designed for small accounts in volatile markets. You get 3 high-probability setups per week. Entry, exit, and risk management spelled out. No overtrading. No chasing. | At the end of the week, we break down what happened in a live session. You see what worked, what didn't, and why. | This is how you build skill when the market gets hostile. | We're running this through Sunday. | Name your own price for the first month. | After that, $79/month. Cancel anytime. | I'm not sure when we'll do this again. | If you've got a small account and you want to survive what's coming — and maybe even profit from it — this is the play. | ⇒ Get in before the bell Monday — join now | To your success, | Don Kaufman | | |
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