Sunday, December 14, 2025 | Tony Rago spent 18 months refining 10+ setups that work across different market cycles — not just the easy ones. Don Kaufman and he just walked through the entire Matrix Key system, including how to identify which play fits today's conditions. This isn't theory. It's the framework serious traders use to stop forcing trades and start adapting. 👉 [WATCH THE FULL BREAKDOWN HERE] → | Hey Trader, What if lower interest rates actually helped cool inflation? I know, it sounds like something an undergrad econ student thought up after eating a pan of special brownies. But hear me out… The Fed did its little dog and pony show, cutting rates as everyone expected, and then telling us they have no idea WTF they're doing. Look, you don't need the last month or two of inflation data to know why we can't get back below 2%...HOUSING! It's the single largest component of the Consumer Price Index, and it keeps going up. Look at this October reading from the National Association of Realtors: | Prices are up everywhere. And it's not hard to understand why. In October 2019, there were 1.77 million units of existing homes for sale. That number was 1.52 million in October of this year. Six years later and we have fewer homes for sale. Why? 80% of U.S. homeowners have mortgages with rates below 6%. Over half have rates below 4%. My best estimation (along with ChatGPT) is there are about 150k-250k fewer active listings each month because rates are high. And here's the irony…wait for it…lower rates might actually cause home prices to fall! Lower rates would incentivize more homes to come onto the market, increasing supply. In turn, that could stabilize and even drop home prices. Let that magical revelation roll around in your head as your peruse our weekend editorial content. Jordan Schneir Editorial Director, TheoTRADE | Don Kaufman: Surviving Markets That Want You Dead The island tried to kill me three times before lunch today. First, driving back from the house, I got stuck behind a truck dropping crap all over the road. Then a deer decided to commit suicide by jumping in front of my car. Finally, the first iguana I've seen since arriving appeared right in the middle of the street, daring me to run it over. The island was angry. And it was trying to tell me something. See, when you live on an island - and I mean really live here in the Virgin Islands, not vacation here - you learn the place has a personality. A fairly sadistic one. Some days it loves you. Other days it's actively plotting your demise. Sound familiar? CLICK HERE to continue reading Don's article. | Brandon Chapman: Why $190 Was the Level to Watch on ORCL Twenty-four hours before Oracle's earnings, someone bought 24,000 puts at exactly one strike: $190. | The next morning, Oracle gapped down and stopped right there. Luck? Insider knowledge? Neither. They just understood something most traders miss about how stocks behave after earnings disappointments. CLICK HERE to continue reading Brandon's article. | Gianni Di Poce: A New Dawn for Small Caps The Fed cut rates this past Wednesday by 25 basis points, as expected. There's little unity among board members about what to do next. I'll let the pundits handle that discussion. Today, I want to share how this latest cut is bullish for small cap stocks, which we track via the Russell 2000. CLICK HERE to continue reading Gianni's article. | Jeff Bierman: The Day After The Fed cut rates Wednesday afternoon. The market popped. Then it dropped. Then it settled flat. I watched it happen from my office in Chicago while snow piled up outside. One degree Saturday night. Try living that. None of it mattered. Not the cut. Not the pop. Not Powell's press conference. The only thing that mattered was Thursday morning. The day after. That's when the real decisions get made. When the committees at hedge funds and asset managers sit down together, sober and clear-headed, and ask one simple question: Now what? I did this for eleven years. Every Fed decision, same routine. We'd all get together with the analysts the next morning. No knee-jerk reactions. No parsing every word from Powell's mouth. Just critical thinking about what actually changed and what it means for positioning. This weekend, I want to explain why that distinction matters more than anything else you'll hear about markets right now. CLICK HERE to continue reading Jeff's article. | Blake Young: What Gym Memberships Teach Us About the Markets Picture this: it's January 2nd, and gyms across the country are packed with people committed to their New Year's resolutions. Fast forward to February, and those same gyms are nearly empty. Yet everyone's credit card is still getting charged $50 a month. This phenomenon is known as the gym model. When someone signs up for a gym membership, the gym knows they can charge a monthly fee of $50, yet only about 15% of members will consistently use the facility. The gym can essentially oversell its capacity by five times or more. Members continue paying for good intentions as the relatively small fee gets pulled from their accounts each month. This is great for the gym but not so great for the member. I'm not saying gym memberships are ineffective or not worth the cost. I am saying, however, that we have to use the membership to get the value. Many would argue that you need motivation to get to the gym. I disagree. Motivation might work once or twice, but I believe the stronger tool to get you where you need to be is accountability. CLICK HERE to continue reading Blake's article. | Tony Rago: Why the Stops Exist uesday afternoon, the bond auction hit the tape and the NQ ripped against my position. "I just took a full stop-loss on this trade." No hesitation. No moving the stop. No hoping for a bounce. The market surged, my stop triggered, and I was out. I watched the trade I had been short move sharply against me, and my only response was to acknowledge it happened and step back. "This is why stops are what they are. Do we still want that trade? We were short down here, we took a stop right here. Do we still want it? Heck no, we don't want it." That moment crystallized the single most important lesson of this Fed week. The stop is not your enemy. The stop is doing exactly what you need it to do. It frees you from a position that has turned against you so you can come back for the next opportunity. CLICK HERE to continue reading Tony's article. | The Market's No. 1 Trading Guide, Free This is the perfect time to make sure you're up to speed on your trading know-how. So I want to ensure you've read our free Rebel's Guide to Trading Options - it covers all the basics of trading options. Like everything we do, the course is in plain English. It's specially geared toward beginners but all traders will get something out of it. Yours absolutely free, of course - right here… Get 6 Months Membership Access for FREE Click Here to Open and Fund a NEW tastytrade Account Follow these step by step directions: 1. To open an account with tastytrade and enjoy an additional 6 months of TheoTRADE membership, start by clicking the button below.. | 2. Follow the directions on that page to open a new account. 3. Fund the account with a minimum of $2,000 in the next 30 days and keep open for at least 6 months. 4. IMPORTANT: After the new account is open AND funded email support@theotrade.com so we can verify your new account. Please note it may take us up to one week to verify your account from the time you email us. 5. TheoTrade will then provide you membership access for 6 months! Click here to get started now... | NEED HELP? LOOKING FOR MORE ADVANCED TRAINING? CALL OUR VIP CONCIERGE TEAM: (623) 244-5657 | Warm regards, Don Kaufman | Disclaimer: Neither TheoTrade or any of its officers, directors, employees, other personnel, representatives, agents or independent contractors is, in such capacities, a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, registered broker-dealer or FINRA|SIPC|NFA-member firm. TheoTrade does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. TheoTrade is not in the business of transacting trades, nor does TheoTrade agree to direct your brokerage accounts or give trading advice tailored to your particular situation. Nothing contained in our content constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, promotion, or endorsement of any particular security, other investment product, transaction or investment. Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past Performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. | |
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