Don't sell and run away... trade through the volatility...
| | | Forget 12 watchlists and 100 charts. One ticker — Nvidia — holds the key to trading the entire A.I. surge. Click here to see the 4-D system in action. | | | Good morning: | The third quarter has begun… and the government shutdown is here… | Today's show is all about taking advantage of this coming volatility… | Most people hear the phrase "government shutdown" and immediately think of national parks closing, federal workers being furloughed, and longer TSA lines. | However, as traders, we consider liquidity, volatility, and data. | When the government shuts down, key economic reports stop being published. | This creates a critical information gap that affects trading dynamics in ways most retail investors don't understand. It means that we don't get the published versions of Nonfarm Payrolls, CPI and PPI inflation data, Housing market statistics, Retail sales figures, and GDP revisions and updates | Markets can continue trading without fresh headlines… | Historical Performance: The Pattern is Clear | Analyzing shutdowns since 1995 reveals a predictable pattern: | Short Shutdowns (1-5 days) | | Medium Shutdowns (2-3 weeks) | | Extended Shutdowns (30+ days) | Market impact: -4% to -6% corrections Trading opportunity: Major rally potential upon resolution Example: 2018-19 shutdown led to significant recovery gains
| Shutdowns rarely break markets permanently, but they consistently create tradable volatility swings for prepared traders. | The Professional Trader's Playbook | Risk Management Adjustments: | Tighten stop losses: Thin liquidity combined with algorithmic trading can trigger flash crashes Reduce position sizes: Uncertainty demands smaller risk per trade Increase cash allocation: Liquidity becomes your competitive advantage
| Opportunity Identification: | Volatility plays to gain edge: VXX calls and VIX strategies become more attractive Wait for peak panic signals: Oversold conditions combined with shutdown resolution create high-probability setups Time your entries carefully: Hedge before chaos, buy after negative headlines peak
| Strategic Approach: | Monitor political developments for resolution timeline clues Watch for oversold technical conditions in major indices Prepare for rapid sentiment shifts when resolution appears likely
| The Bottom Line for Traders | A government shutdown isn't fundamentally about politics… | It's about data scarcity and policy uncertainty. | When markets lose visibility into economic conditions, price discovery happens through volatility rather than fundamental analysis. | The Professional Advantage: | Civilians see shutdowns as annoying disruptions Traders see shutdowns as volatility opportunities Success requires holding cash and patience, not hope and heavy positions
| Position yourself before the chaos intensifies, then deploy capital when panic reaches unsustainable levels. The resolution trade has historically been one of the most reliable setups in political risk scenarios. | Remember: In shutdown scenarios, cash is king and volatility is opportunity… but only for traders disciplined enough to wait for the right moment to deploy capital. | We'll be live in 15 minutes to walk you through how to handle the next few trading days… | Just click here to join the chat. | Stay positive, | Garrett Baldwin |
|
| | | | | Update your email preferences or unsubscribe here © 2025 Disclaimer: Neither TheoTrade or any of its officers, directors, employees, other personnel, representatives, agents or independent contractors is, in such capacities, a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, registered broker-dealer or FINRA|SIPC|NFA-member firm. TheoTrade does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. TheoTrade is not in the business of transacting trades, nor does TheoTrade agree to direct your brokerage accounts or give trading advice tailored to your particular situation. Nothing contained in our content constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, promotion, or endorsement of any particular security, other investment product, transaction or investment.Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past Performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. PO Box 24790 Christiansted, Virgin Islands 00824, United States of America | | Terms of Service |
|
|
|
|
|
Tidak ada komentar:
Posting Komentar