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Dear Fellow Investor,
This Yielding Oil Stock is Just Starting to Gush Higher
Oil prices may be unpredictable—but one thing’s for sure: energy stocks are still essential to a balanced, income-generating portfolio.
Between rising global demand, tightening supply, and escalating geopolitical risks, the oil market is once again moving into the spotlight. And for investors seeking both growth and yield, select oil stocks are starting to look extremely attractive—especially as Wall Street firms begin raising their price targets across the board.
Why Oil Demand Isn’t Going Away
There are a few major drivers keeping pressure on oil supply—and fueling the case for energy stocks.
First, geopolitical tensions remain elevated. Iran recently suspended cooperation with the United Nation’s nuclear watchdog, stoking fears of more instability in the Middle East. Any further disruptions in this region can send crude prices soaring.
Second, supply is still tight. Sure, OPEC recently announced it would increase output by about 411,000 barrels per day in August. But that may not be nearly enough to meet demand.
As FXEmpire.com points out:
“Global oil demand is on track to hit a record 104.5 million bpd in Q3 2025, up 2.2 million bpd year-over-year… Meanwhile, spare capacity is shrinking. OECD inventories are still 15% below the five-year average and U.S. shale production is plateauing.”
That imbalance creates a powerful setup for oil stocks—especially those offering strong dividends and consistent capital returns.
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Company: Marathon Petroleum (SYM: MPC)
Marathon Petroleum is one of the largest integrated downstream energy companies in the U.S., operating across three main segments:
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Refining & Marketing
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Midstream (via MPLX LP)
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Renewable Diesel
As demand tightens and refining margins improve into the summer driving season, MPC is positioned to benefit from higher throughput, better crack spreads, and strong seasonal tailwinds.
And while many energy stocks have already had strong runs, analysts say MPC may just be getting started.
A Growing Dividend + Shareholder Capital Return
Currently, MPC yields 2.13%, with a quarterly dividend of $0.91 per share, most recently paid on June 10. For long-term income investors, that’s attractive—especially considering the company’s aggressive commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
In its most recent quarter, Marathon returned $1.3 billion to shareholders, including $1.1 billion in share buybacks—demonstrating that management sees strong value in its own stock.
While the company did report a net loss of $74 million, or 24 cents per share, it actually beat Wall Street expectations by 30 cents. Revenue came in at $31.58 billion, also beating estimates by $1.7 billion.
The short-term loss was largely attributed to one of the largest planned maintenance quarters in the company’s history—a factor that’s already behind it.
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Analysts Are Bullish on MPC
Wall Street clearly likes what it sees.
In recent weeks, multiple major investment banks have raised their price targets on Marathon Petroleum, including:
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Raymond James: Raised to $188 (Strong Buy)
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Wells Fargo: Raised to $182 (Overweight)
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Bank of America: Raised to $168 from $146
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Barclays: Raised to $159 from $141 (Overweight)
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Mizuho: Raised to $184 from $168
That’s a strong vote of confidence from institutions managing billions.
As noted in the company’s earnings release, CEO Maryann Mannen remains optimistic:
“Our Midstream business delivered an 8% increase in segment adjusted EBITDA over the prior year… and we remain constructive on the long-term outlook for our refining business. We believe we are positioned over time to deliver peer-leading capital returns.”
What’s Next for Marathon Petroleum?
With oil demand expected to break records this summer and spare capacity running thin, Marathon Petroleum could be in for a strong second half of the year.
Not only is the company set to benefit from rising energy prices, it’s also:
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Returning billions in capital through buybacks and dividends
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Benefiting from improving refining margins and throughput
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Optimizing operations through midstream and renewable diesel expansion
For investors seeking energy exposure, consistent income, and potential capital appreciation, MPC may be one of the top integrated energy stocks to buy now.
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Are there any other oil stocks you've got your eye on? Which ones? What other sectors of the market do you think are on their way up right now? Hit "reply" to this email and let us know your thoughts!
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