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Dear Fellow Investor,
Back-to-School Season Is Here — and It’s Bringing Profit Opportunities With It
3 Ways Investors Can Get Ahead of the Retail Spending Surge
It might feel like summer just got started, but American families are already prepping for the school year ahead—and they’re spending big.
According to CBS News, two-thirds of U.S. shoppers have already started buying school supplies and clothes. That’s a 55% jump in early purchases compared to last year.
What’s driving the urgency? Concerns about inflation, shifting consumer habits, and potential tariffs are prompting families to get a head start. And for investors, that means one thing:
Opportunity.
Each year, the back-to-school shopping surge helps drive billions of dollars through the retail economy. This time around, several companies—and even one ETF—look well-positioned to ride that wave.
Company: Walmart (SYM: WMT)
Still the King of Budget-Friendly Back-to-School Shopping
Walmart is a perennial winner during back-to-school season—and this year looks no different.
Even in the face of high interest rates and cautious consumer spending, Walmart has continued to perform. The stock is up roughly 40% over the past year, and 145% over the last five years, as the company leans into affordability, operational efficiency, and growing e-commerce dominance.
Walmart is especially strong during seasonal events like back-to-school shopping, thanks to:
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Competitive pricing on essentials like clothing, backpacks, and school supplies
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Massive store footprint in suburban and rural areas
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Expanding online and curbside pickup services
The seasonal trend has been remarkably consistent:
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In 2024, Walmart shares jumped from an August low of ~$70 to a high of $104.76
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In 2023, WMT rallied from $52 to $55.21
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In 2022, it bounced from ~$42 to over $49
Now trading near all-time highs, WMT could see another leg higher as parents scramble to stock up on essentials before September.
Oxford Club
Could This Be My Biggest Call Since Nvidia At $1.10? (New Pick Revealed Free)
Alexander Green here, and I could be about to make one of the biggest calls of my career...
Over 20 years ago, I recommended Nvidia to my readers at $1.10 (split adjusted).
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Company: Target (SYM: TGT)
A Seasonal Bounce Back in Progress
Target hasn’t had the easiest ride in recent quarters. Shifting consumer tastes, political backlash, and weaker discretionary spending have all weighed on sentiment.
But don’t count it out.
Despite its recent challenges, Target is a back-to-school bellwether that historically rebounds in the late summer months. And with many of its issues already priced in, the current setup could favor a short-term rally.
Here’s how the seasonal pattern has played out in recent years:
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In 2024, TGT rose from an August low of ~$141 to $157.52
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In 2023, it initially dipped from ~$127 but then surged to $170.62
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In 2022, it ran from ~$150 to $162
Target’s current share price still sits well below its all-time highs, and recent improvements in inventory management, discount strategies, and digital sales may help it turn the corner.
With analysts starting to warm up to the stock again, TGT could be a solid seasonal swing trade.
Could Musk’s new AI Firm Power Tesla, NASA, and the Pentagon?
Elon Musk isn't preparing for peace.
And with the US joining the Israel-Iran war, no one should be.
Musk recently bought 10,000 advanced AI chips - and is reportedly looking to spend $1 billion more.
It's no coincidence that this comes as U.S. generals warn of a two-front war scenario: China and the Middle East.
Now there's a lesser-known AI company that makes one of the most in-demand chips on the market...
And they're not just 2.4x more powerful than NVIDIA's - they could be essential to Musk's AI empire, the Pentagon, and NASA.
Get the name of the stock here >>>
ETF: ProShares Online Retail ETF (SYM: ONLN)
If you’d rather take a diversified approach—and benefit from the rising tide of online shopping—the ProShares Online Retail ETF (SYM: ONLN) could be the smarter play.
The ETF is directly tied to the strength of e-commerce, holding top names like:
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Amazon.com (SYM: AMZN)
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eBay (SYM: EBAY)
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Wayfair (SYM: W)
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Coupang (SYM: CPNG)
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Etsy (SYM: ETSY)
What makes ONLN compelling:
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Captures the convenience-driven back-to-school shopper trend
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Holds 19 stocks focused on direct-to-consumer retail
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Pays a quarterly dividend (7+ cents per share in July, 5+ cents in April)
The ETF has been gradually climbing since spring and tends to do well during peak consumer buying cycles. With tariff concerns pushing shoppers to act early, ONLN could see strong tailwinds through the end of Q3.
Chaikin Analytics
50-year Wall Street legend names #1 stock of 2025
Stocks soared 25% in 2024...
The S&P has blown through more than 50 all-time highs since the year began...
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Another one of his top stocks of the year skyrocketed as much as 160% after he shared its name and ticker, live on-air.
To get the name and ticker of his #1 pick of 2025, 100% free, click here.
Are there any other seasonal stocks you've got your eye on? Which ones? What other sectors of the market are you buying right now? Hit "reply" to this email and let us know your thoughts!
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