| Ripple Effect — June 16, 2025
Over the past few years, oil prices have spiked on every geopolitical tiff between Israel and Iran.
When the two countries lobbed missiles at each other in early 2024, oil prices spiked, and markets dropped.
But in all of those cases, tensions cooled, and oil prices came back down and markets kept on truckin’.
So far, that seems to be the playbook here. Oil is starting to trend lower after the weekend, even as both countries continued their attacks.
However, one sign in the betting markets hints at some danger. The odds of the Strait of Hormuz closing are on the rise:  The odds have been around 20% all year, but with the current escalation, it’s jumped to about 35%. Closing the Strait would considerably lower oil exports from the Middle East, and raise prices – potenitally to the $100 range.
That’s a good reason to look elsewhere for energy opportunities ahead of a potential spike – and we’ve already identified some of the best oil and gas plays in the U.S. – which also plays strongly to part of President Trump’s Great Reset. | 50-year Wall Street veteran, Marc Chaikin is stepping forward to share why history gives him 90% historical confidence that stocks will end 2025 up. However, he also has bad news: the same data also tells him the REAL market crash will likely arrive in 2026. Click here to see the month and day he estimates it will begin. | P.S.: And, with the hard asset story getting stronger by the minute, so is our research. Andrew will be at the Rule Investment Symposium in Boca Raton on July 7-11, 2025.
The Symposium is a five-day affair featuring in-depth research from dozens of small-cap resource companies, including gold and silver mining companies – but also copper, uranium, and other critical commodities we’ve explored in-depth in our research over the past year. Click here to attend and meet your future cutting-edge resource investments face-to-face.
As always, your reader feedback is welcome: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com (We read all emails. Thanks in advance for your contribution.)
How did we get here? Find out in these riveting reads: Demise of the Dollar, Financial Reckoning Day, and Empire of Debt — all three books are now available in their third post-pandemic editions. You might enjoy one or all three. 
(Or… simply pre-order Empire of Debt: We Came, We Saw, We Borrowed, now available at Amazon and Barnes & Noble or if you prefer one of these sites: Bookshop.org, Books-A-Million or Target.)
Please send your comments, reactions, opprobrium, vitriol and praise to: feedback@greyswanfraternity.com |
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