A book titled 1001 Inventions That Changed the World sits on my coffee table... Every invention has a brief description that also explains why it was important. (I recommend checking it out – you can find it here on Amazon.)
A Cautionary Tale for One of Today's Tech Giants
By Ethan Goldman, junior analyst, Chaikin Analytics
A book titled 1001 Inventions That Changed the World sits on my coffee table...
Every invention has a brief description that also explains why it was important. (I recommend checking it out – you can find it here on Amazon.)
One page lists the digital cellphone in 1991 as one of these world-altering inventions.
Now, cellphones had existed in analog forms since 1973. But the 1991 innovation was the global system for mobile communications ("GSM"). This was the first digital system for sending and receiving phone calls and text messages.
A few years before the launch of GSM, a company from Ontario, Canada called Research In Motion ("RIM") had sprung up. It eventually produced a two-way pager after two years of research and development.
Back then, two-way pagers were unique. The technology allowed for sending and receiving text messages on the same device.
RIM's "Interactive Pager" was a precursor to the smartphones we know and use today. The device was a huge hit when it released. And it went on to launch RIM into a brand we're probably all familiar with...
I'm talking about BlackBerry (BB).
You see, RIM initially used the BlackBerry name for its popular product line of devices. But the company eventually changed its entire corporate name to BlackBerry.
At its peak in the late 2000s, BlackBerry held about 20% of the world's smartphone market. It was the industry leader.
However, the company struggled to adapt to technological change. And as you surely know, it fell off the cliff from smartphone dominance.
It's a cautionary tale for the tech titans today – including one in particular right now...
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BlackBerry's Dominance Didn't Last
You see, BlackBerry phones emphasized speed and connectivity. Folks became hooked on these devices. Thanks to their addictive nature, BlackBerry phones even earned the nickname "CrackBerry."
As you would expect, the company's stock benefited massively from all this...
In early 2003, BB shares started to take off. By mid-2008, they had peaked at nearly $150. Take a look...
However, BlackBerry's global domination of the mobile-phone market was short-lived. Competitors like Apple (AAPL) and Korea-based Samsung Electronics ran BlackBerry into the ground.
By 2010, Apple's iPhone 3GS and Samsung's SCH-U450 were that year's two bestselling cellphones. But the BlackBerry 8500 series came in fourth.
Some folks attribute BlackBerry's fall to not taking Apple's competition seriously.
By now, the remains of BlackBerry's mobile-phone dominance linger on. The company's current business consists of cybersecurity and software products.
And at around $4 per share, the stock has fallen a staggering 97% from its peak. Take a look at the long collapse...
BlackBerry is one cautionary tale from the tech industry. Developments happen fast. And failure to adapt is bad for companies – and their investors.
Today, the big technology on everyone's mind is artificial intelligence ("AI"). It's everywhere these days. And in a fast-moving field like AI, the tech giants of today can't afford to fall behind.
That includes Apple – the company that helped knock BlackBerry off its dominant spot in the smartphone market.
Apple is even facing a lawsuit for false advertising. The plaintiffs say the company promised AI features that never materialized in its devices.
Put simply, Apple is lagging behind in the AI arms race.
The recent stumbles have been bad for the stock. It's down about 20% so far in 2025. And as you can see, Apple has also been in "bearish" territory in the Power Gauge for most of the year...
Today, Apple earns a "very bearish" rating in the Power Gauge. So our system sees even more downside ahead.
Now, I'm not saying Apple is doomed – or that a total collapse is inevitable. It's a $3 trillion tech behemoth, after all.
But amid the company's recent struggles, it's important to keep the lessons of BlackBerry's failure in mind. As I said, it's bad news when a company can't keep up in a fast-moving field of powerful tech.
And at the minimum, the Power Gauge is telling us that Apple looks rough right now.
Good investing,
Ethan Goldman
Market View
Major Indexes and Notable Sectors
# Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish
Dow 30
+0.09%
7
18
5
S&P 500
-0.11%
87
276
136
Nasdaq
-0.16%
21
58
21
Small Caps
-0.51%
393
1043
450
Bonds
+0.15%
Utilities
+1.02%
3
22
6
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks are somewhat Bearish. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Real Estate
+2.68%
Financial
+1.82%
Information Technology
+1.81%
Health Care
+1.76%
Consumer Staples
+1.51%
Consumer Discretionary
+1.5%
Industrials
+1.41%
Communication
+1.21%
Utilities
+1.06%
Materials
+0.75%
Energy
-0.56%
* * * *
Industry Focus
Health Care Equipment Services
8
35
21
Over the past 6 months, the Health Care Equipment subsector (XHE) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -11.59%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Weak, with more Bearish than Bullish stocks. It is currently ranked #15 of 21 subsectors and has moved down 1 slot over the past week.
Indicative Stocks
ZBH
Zimmer Biomet Holdin
BDX
Becton, Dickinson an
IART
Integra LifeSciences
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
ULTA
+11.78%
PLTR
+7.73%
ENPH
+5.48%
PANW
+3.55%
COST
+3.12%
Losers
REGN
-19.01%
COO
-14.61%
TPL
-7.03%
LRCX
-4.0%
EMN
-3.84%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Earnings Surprises
No significant Earnings Surprises in the Russell 3000.
* * * *
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