August 05, 2024 | Read Online

Alright folks…

Let's break down what we're seeing in this wild market.

First off, despite the heavy volatility, today's session felt surprisingly orderly. Don't get me wrong, we're in choppy waters, but it's not the complete chaos some might have expected.

Now, about that VIX explosion - holy smokes, right?

But here's the kicker: most of that action happened pre-market when liquidity was thin.

We're likely looking at a combo of forced liquidations and lower overall market liquidity. It's like watching a tidal wave hit an empty beach - dramatic, but not necessarily indicative of what happens when the crowds arrive.

Here's where it gets really interesting, and I need you to pay attention: The VVIX, which measures the volatility of the VIX itself, is still at catastrophic levels.

In plain English? The big boys, the professional trading firms, they're not letting go of their hedges.

They're battening down the hatches and preparing for more storms.

What does this mean for you?

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It's a harsh warning to stay on your toes.

The risk may not have fully revealed itself in the US markets yet. Sure, we might see a rally in Japan and South Korea, but don't let that lull you into a false sense of security.

If we see a rally in US markets, approach it with a healthy dose of skepticism. With volatility levels this extreme, any upward move could be a head-fake.

It's like being in the eye of the hurricane - things might seem calm for a moment, but there's potentially more turbulence ahead.

Remember, in markets like these, cash is a position too. Don't feel pressured to make moves just because things are wild.

Sometimes, the best trade is the one you don't make. Stay sharp, stay patient, and most importantly, stay ready.

This volatility beast isn't done with us yet.

To your success,

Don Kaufman