Grind It 🥊I Operation February 🥷 I Too Cheap 💯 |
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Hey Guys & Gals, Jason Bond here. |
In the small world of successful traders, the common denominator is math. |
Buying options for profit is like playing slots. |
Gamblers who play enough may hit a jackpot. Despite potential for huge payouts, most players average a loss in the long run. This is due to small losses the majority of the time. |
Traders who buy options are betting on large, directional moves. Those assumptions may be correct and yield significant profits once and a while. But underlying prices stay within their expected ranges most of the time. This results in small, frequent losses and an average loss over time. |
Selling options for profit is like owning the slot machines. Casino owners have a long-run statistical advantage for every game. |
Owners may pay out large jackpots. |
But as long as players stay long enough, owners are compensated for taking on this risk, with nearly guaranteed profit in the long term. |
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Similarly, because short options carry tail risk but provide small, consistent profits from implied volatility (IV) overstatement, then they should average a profit in the long run if risk is managed. |
In the $2,000 Small Account Journey I teach traders to "own" the slot machines. |
Long premium strategies have a high profit potential but cannot be consistently timed to ensure profit in the long term. |
Similar to the slot machine owner, a short premium trader must reduce the impact of outlier losses to reach a large number of occurrences (trades) and realize the positive longer-term averages. |
The $2,000 Small Account Journey focuses on short premium trades or selling options. I want to be the owner of the slot machines, not the player. |
Take, for example, my current $2,000 balance. |
I've placed 51 trades since November 13. |
45 have been wins and 6 have been losses. |
My outlier losses are where the player hits the jackpot. |
But because I've reached a large number of occurrences (52 trades) I've grown the $2,000 to $13,304 or a gain of 565% in a few months (*Results not typical. Trading is hard. Nothing is guaranteed). |
[For my complete spreadsheet of trades, please email Jeff Brown (jbrown@ragingbull.com) and he would be happy to get that to you!] |
Take for example my trade alert on NVDA yesterday. |
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My risk is defined at $5,144. |
I can make $2,856. |
The way I win 100% or $2,856 is if NVDA is below $640 at 4 PM ET on 2/9. |
As a short premium trader I have 3-ways to win. |
NVDA closed Tuesday night at $627.74. |
NVDA can climb $12, but as long as it closes at $639.99 on 2/9 I win 100% or $2,856 NVDA can trade sideways and I win 100% NVDA can trade lower and I win again
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And I can close this trade whenever I want before 2/9. |
Which I did this morning for a 31% $872 win. |
 | *Note: Trading is hard, results not guaranteed and should not be expected to be replicated typically. |
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Cheddar🧀🧀🧀 |
If you want to learn how to trade an edge like a casino, my book recommendation is The Unlucky Investor's Guide To Options Trading by Julia Spina. |
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I do not think you'll regret joining the $2,000 Small Account Journey… |
Especially if you scoop the service up while it's still on SALE!!! |
Huge Price Hike TOMORROW! |
And I do not think you'll regret buying the book. In fact, if you join Journey right now, it's required reading. |
Let's get to work 🥊 |
Jason Bond |
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