Midpoints
We use midpoints in the market to help us decide where the market is leaning. For the month of May we have spent a great deal of time below the 4190.00 open of the month. However, given the way that April closed, with a rally, this is not that surprising. The midpoint of the month so far is 4134.25. That may very well be the battle ground number. Above 4134.25, the market has a chance to power through, and show off some strength. Below that number the weakness of May is apparent. The high so far this month has been 4206.25 and the low has been 4062.25. If those numbers remain unchanged, then 4134.25 is our best judgment on May.
Another number to consider is the FOMC number 4150.00. It was a bit of a surprise that the market pushed to that level before the FOMC announcement back on May 3. May 3 opened at 4133.25.
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