| Next, I had to choose an expiration date for my option. Since I believe a drop in SPY will occur within the next two months, I chose an expiration date of August 21. That leaves plenty of time for most S&P constituents to release their Q2 results, which I suspect will be worse than expected. Finally, I must choose a strike price at which my option can be exercised. The day I bought my option VXX was trading near $32, so I chose the $30 strike price. I paid $6 for my option. Since I bought a call option on VXX, its price will have to rise above $36 for this trade to be profitable. That could easily happen. When the stock market hit the skids back in March, VXX quickly surged above $78. Correction Insurance I'm not expecting a move of that magnitude this time. But I don't need a huge move to double my money. All I need is for VXX to rise above $42. At that price, my option would have $12 of intrinsic value. That's twice the $6 premium I paid for it. The downside risk is that my option could become worthless. If SPY keeps going up, the value of my option will drop. If VXX falls below $30 by expiration, I would lose everything I paid for my call option. I don't think that is likely. During the past six weeks, BZY has briefly spiked only to fall back immediately. Meanwhile, SPY just kept going up as if nothing was wrong. But something is wrong. Unemployment is soaring while consumer spending is plunging. Yes, the economy is gradually opening back up. But it will be a long time until unemployment and consumer spending are back to normal levels. Watch This Video: The Calculus of COVID-19 I don't like the idea of betting on the stock market to go down. In fact, I hold shares or call options on 20 companies in my portfolio. I view my trade on VXX as a short-term insurance policy to protect my portfolio from a stock market correction over the summer. I'll be the first to admit that I have a higher risk tolerance than do most other folks. You may prefer following a system that generates steady gains through all types of markets. If so, then consider following the advice of my colleague, Amber Hestla. Amber Hestla is the chief investment strategist of our premium trading service, Profit Amplifier. Amber has devised a highly unusual but powerful tactic that turns tiny price moves into massive gains. The team at Investing Daily makes you this bold promise: Over the next 12 months, if the gains from all of Amber's winning trades don't add up to at least 1,000%… Just let us know, and we'll give you a second year of Profit Amplifier… absolutely free. Want to start making money with Amber? Click here for details. |
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