Jumat, 05 Juni 2020

A Key Shift in Capital Could Spell New Profits

June 05, 2020

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Money & Crisis

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A Key Shift in Capital Could Spell New Profits

Graham SummersDear Money & Crisis Reader,

The big news this morning is that payrolls grew by 2.5 million in May.

Yes, for the first time in a while I wrote the word “grew” — as in 2.5 million people were hired last month.

This comes on the heels of truly depressionary unemployment numbers in March and April. According to some data, as many as 40 million Americans have filed for unemployment since late February 2020.

This May data suggests that trend is ending and that the economy is rebounding AGGRESSIVELY.

Of course, one month doesn’t make a trend. And it will be interesting to see how June and July’s numbers hold up.

But if this data from May is not a freak occurrence, it indicates that the stock market was CORRECT to discount a sharp economic rebound was coming.

In terms of investing today, we should start to see some rotation take place.

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An Important Shift in Capital

Rotation is when capital moves from one sector to another. Typically, it consists of capital moving from winning industries to industries that are lagging behind.

In our current market, this would mean money moving from tech and semiconductors into things like cruise lines, theme parks, airlines, and other laggards.

Let me show you an example.

JPMorgan (JPM) is the largest bank in the US. 

Take a look at how JPM shares (black line below) have performed relative to the performance of the FANG stocks (Facebook, Apple, Netflix, and Google as depicted by the red line) since the March lows and you’ll see what I mean by “lagging.”

Chart: Big Banks Struggled Behind Big Tech

However, from a technical analysis perspective, JPM looks ready to rocket higher. 

The bank’s share price has just broken above critical resistance (red line below). And if indeed the economy is improving greatly, then banks like JPMorgan should do very well (they profit from economic growth via their loan portfolios).

Chart: Big Banks Start to Gain Momentum

Now, I’m NOT saying to go out and buy JPM today. But this is a great example of how the markets work: capital rotates from one sector to another based on new developments.

High Impact Investment Ideas

In terms of specific investment ideas to consider today, I recently told subscribers of my Strategic Impact newsletter about nine investments that could outperform the broader stock market as the economy reopened.

We’ve already closed out four of these positions at gains of 9%, 9%, 24%, and 47%.

As I write this Friday morning, several of our current open positions are winners — some of them already in the double digits.

To learn more about investment ideas like these and secure your opportunity to see how to profit… click here

And one last thing: If you are already subscribed to my Strategic Impact newsletter, I have a request… 

Next week I’m going to be recording a video with Phoenix Press publisher Doug Hill, which will be sent to all Strategic Impact subscribers. And we’ll have the chance to go over some questions from readers. 

Click here to submit questions now.

And again, if you’re not currently a Strategic Impact subscriber, click here for more details on how to join.

Best Regards,

Graham Summers

Graham Summers
Editor, Money & Crisis

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