| A Sliding Bond Market The U.S. corporate bond market is $10 trillion in size. $1.5 trillion of this junk. Think of this as Subprime 2.0: the riskiest debt instruments out of a larger pool of debt instruments. And it has just entered a bear market. On Monday, I mentioned that the chart to watch is for Junk Bonds (HYG). If it was to break to the downside, that would signal CRISIS TIME. Now, the Junk Bond ETF has officially broken its bull market trendline running back to 2009. Meaning, Subprime 2.0 has burst.  As you'll no doubt recall, the 2008 crisis happened when the Subprime crisis spread to other less risky mortgages that had traditionally been considered "safe." Using this blueprint for the corporate debt bubble, the less-risky corporate debt is called investment grade – those are the bonds we'll watch now. There is $2.5 trillion worth of investment grade bonds that are just one step above junk. This stuff is also likely junk… but managed to make the credit requirements necessary to avoid being designated as such for now. These bonds have ended their bull run and will be testing their long-term bull market. We do not have a crisis in this sector yet. If we take out that blue line however, things get BAD.  So… where does this leave stocks? If Stocks Bounce… Here's What To Do Stocks are EXTREMELY oversold and due for a bounce. That bounce will be coming very shortly. And I suggest using it to unload long positions at better prices. Indeed, both the bond and currency markets are telling us this bounce is coming shortly. After unloading some long positions once that bounce occurs, I'd then suggest looking into opening some shorts. I'll have some examples of the investments I'm talking about in tomorrow's article. Until then… Best Regards,  Graham Summers Editor, Money & Crisis P.S. Need a quick distraction from the doom and gloom? Take a second and watch this interview that I had with my publisher. History seems to be repeating itself and with that, I have a profit system that is thriving – with an outstanding 81% win rate, even in this current market. The details behind this success can be found in the brief video. Click here to watch it. |
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