| Heading Towards a Corporate Debt Crisis Since 2008, U.S. corporations have issued a truly INSANE amount of debt, often times using this debt to buy back their own stock. Consider that it took 50 years for the U.S. corporate bond market to hit $4 trillion. It has more than DOUBLED that to $10 trillion since 2008 alone. The economic impact of the coronavirus has brought this market under systemic duress. With corporate sales imploding, companies will suddenly have much less money to use to make debt payments. As you can see in the chart below, the bull market in junk bonds is OVER. If we take out that lower red line, we're entering a systemic crisis for corporate debt. This is a huge deal. And frankly, the Fed can't do anything about it. The corporate debt market is a $10 trillion bubble, of which $1.5 trillion is junk (think subprime) and another $4 trillion is just one step above this (probably junk as well). And unlike mortgages or Treasuries, the Fed CANNOT buy this stuff. Not unless Congress changes the Federal Reserve act. Why does this matter? Because corporate debt leads stocks. The stock market bounced at 2,500. Credit tells us stocks will be heading to 2,300 if not lower. In the simplest of terms, the next crisis is here. The coronavirus has burst the Everything Bubble. And we're heading into another 2008 type meltdown, or possibly something worse. Please feel free to send in any questions you may have about this to Feedback@PhoenixPress.com. I will do my best to answer these questions in future correspondence. Best Regards,  Graham Summers Editor, Money & Crisis |
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